Timeline for How do you measure the probability of something not known?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
14 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
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| Jun 16 at 15:05 | answer | added | tkruse | timeline score: 0 | |
| Jun 16 at 14:04 | comment | added | user6527 | @PaulRoss if you mean odds as a ratio of probabilities, then it is still a representation of a probability. "but each person may offer their own odds," how does that differ from "but each person may offer their own subjectivist Bayesian probability"? | |
| Jun 16 at 13:58 | comment | added | Paul Ross | @DikranMarsupial, odds are not probabilities! It is rational to hold your odds as close to the objective probability of the event as possible, but each person may offer their own odds, and given the information at their disposal, two individuals might offer different odds but both be rational in doing so. If there is genuine metaphysical indeterminacy, there may be no matter of fact as to who is right, as well. | |
| Jun 16 at 12:27 | answer | added | Ioannis Paizis | timeline score: 0 | |
| Jun 16 at 11:57 | comment | added | user6527 | @Cornifold is it more likely that magnetic monopoles exist than stars outside the visible universe (neither of which we have observed)? The good thing about attaching numbers to subjective beliefs is that it allows you to see if you have updated those subjective beliefs rationally when you get evidence (e.g. in a court of law). | |
| Jun 16 at 11:52 | answer | added | user6527 | timeline score: 4 | |
| Jun 16 at 11:01 | answer | added | causative♦ | timeline score: 3 | |
| Jun 16 at 8:46 | answer | added | gnasher729 | timeline score: 1 | |
| Jun 16 at 6:55 | comment | added | Conifold | Like you evaluate (or not) whether magnetic monopoles exist or whether Thales existed, without probabilities. Putting fake numbers on heuristic reasoning does not add anything useful to it. | |
| Jun 16 at 6:00 | answer | added | niels nielsen | timeline score: 2 | |
| Jun 16 at 0:21 | comment | added | Hart Lort | Well then how do I evaluate whether or not god exists then? @Conifold | |
| Jun 15 at 3:32 | history | edited | Hart Lort | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
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| S Jun 15 at 3:16 | review | First questions | |||
| Jun 16 at 8:51 | |||||
| S Jun 15 at 3:16 | history | asked | Hart Lort | CC BY-SA 4.0 |