Almost no one looks at a stone lying down and thinks that it specifically is in need of a special explanation. More specifically, most don’t get the impulse amounting to “there must have been a designer who constructed this.” Most in history have only gotten this impulse with respect to “important” events such as life more recently or thunder or lightning much earlier on.
John wakes up tomorrow and goes to Chipotle. He is not suddenly thinking that God destined this event. And yet, if he sees his missing friend after 10 years right after thinking about him, he may get an impulse to think it was destined by a god.
Similarly, almost no one looks at a child being killed and thinks “This is proof of an evil designer.” Most of philosophy has focused on using this as evidence against a good god instead.
Similarly, when discussing Pascal’s wager, there doesn’t seem to be much historical focus of any objection that was along the lines of “well, maybe God just puts all believers in hell and non believers in heaven.”
Something about these conceptions of God make Him seem weird or conceive of Him as acting “unreasonably”. But why is this considered or has been considered more unlikely than a reasonable God in history? If God is a Being that we cannot even fathom, how can we say anything about the likelihood of a reasonable vs. “unreasonable” god?