If there is a 70% chance a certain occurrence might happen, does it have any chance of happening?
There must be a 100% chance that something might occur for it to have any chance of occurring.
If there's less than a 100% chance, then might is no longer might, but only a chance of might, which is itself only a possibility. If it's not 100% possible, then the occurrence is not possible, because possibility has to be for sure for something to be possible