So I was watching this and was wondering about the consequences and importance of the "No Free Lunch Theorem"
David Wolpert: that if I have any particular reasoning algorithm be it in say the machine learning algorithms or optimization algorithms evolution itself any of which is a search algorithm and if I find that of my two algorithms a and b that for one set of priors a outperforms b also it's going to make more accurate predictions about whether the sun will rise tomorrow or what have you that foreign for there is always going to be just as many priors for which b beats a
Kurt: what I mean is people including myself perhaps I'm mainly speaking about myself have regret over the past and squandered opportunities feeling like feeling like I didn't implement the optimal strategy I haven't lived up to my potential now is that a valid concern or is your theorem nihilistic where it doesn't matter what you do?
I suspect the only way out is intuition? Our intuition is a product of evolution in our environment. This bias introduces a bias in the "search algorithm" one is likely to use in life. Are there any other way-outs to Kurt's conundrum?