Skip to main content

Questions tagged [induction]

For posts concerning Induction, an analytical method that makes predictions of future results based on observations of past behavior.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
2 votes
1 answer
68 views

What are the philosophical arguments for and against modeling hypotheses as Turing machines?

In this answer here, Now we could start with a model of reality, which says that nature randomly picks a process for generating data; the process is obtained by picking a Turing machine at random, ...
Syed's user avatar
  • 2,582
3 votes
1 answer
86 views

Is Mathematical Induction an Extesion of Logical Implication?

Material Implication implication applies to two independent variables p and q, whereas Induction applies to Set of Related Elements. See Truth Table of Implication(p->q) says that if, q is True, ...
Ashish Shukla's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
103 views

Does Solomonoff Induction solve the Problem of Induction?

I've been reading up on Solomonoff Induction, and most of the researchers in the field seem convinced that the technique represents a solution, or at least a useful ideal, to the traditional problem ...
Syed's user avatar
  • 2,582
0 votes
2 answers
144 views

Is Occam’s razor the basis of induction? Can it “solve” the problem of induction?

I asked a similar question in regards to theory choice but I feel as if this one may be more pertinent. If one notices a certain pattern in data, is it not simpler to posit that the pattern will ...
Syed's user avatar
  • 2,582
4 votes
4 answers
164 views

An intensional system of meaning for predicates? (And related thoughts)

In general, I am interested in a paradigm something like this: When we have premises, there are rules that can allow us to derive consequences of those premises. Sometimes, going in the reverse ...
Julius Hamilton's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
61 views

Tim the Anthropomorphic Bull Thought experiment [closed]

Let's consider Tim. Tim is born on 1st September 1990. Tim goes to elementary school at six. Tim reads Harry Pottter at 12. Tim goes to his prom at 16. Based on these sampling of events... how do we ...
CosmicGenis's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
56 views

Is there a formal term for beliefs that are the basis for doing something on ‘autopilot’

By such beliefs I mean for example: Every morning, when I wake up, I find myself in a supine position, lying on my back, staring at the ceiling, as I am a back sleeper. In those two or three seconds ...
Matt Harper's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
51 views

Is deduction an integral part of induction (logic)?

Definitions: Deduction: The conclusion necessarily follows with 100% certainty from the premises. Impossible for the conclusion to be false and the premises true (valid) Induction: The conclusion ...
Hudjefa's user avatar
  • 5,460
4 votes
4 answers
126 views

Can informal fallacies be considered weak inductive arguments?

Can informal fallacies be considered (weak) inductive arguments? If they can, then does not that mean they are actually not fallacies (because an inductive argument is a reliable form of reasoning)? ...
Sam's user avatar
  • 577
2 votes
3 answers
581 views

What is more important: simplicity or induction?

An argument by analogy is an inductive argument for the existence of other minds. An argument by analogy is enough to justify the belief in the existence of other minds. But Occam's Razor offers a ...
Arnold's user avatar
  • 821
3 votes
0 answers
67 views

Abduction, deduction and induction in medical diagnosis and intervention

(Apologies if my views on logical inference are overly simplistic -- I'm a radiologist by profession, very far from a philosophy major. My goal is to understand what medical decisions are and where ...
Julius Juurmaa's user avatar
4 votes
4 answers
276 views

How do you prove mathematical induction without the notion of a set?

EDIT - Peano's axioms for N can't be used to answer this question, because they assume induction. So what axioms can be used? I am thinking the following: P1. x ∈ N iff x=1 ∨ ∃y (x=y' ∧ y ∈ N) P2. 0'...
lee pappas's user avatar
  • 1,550
3 votes
1 answer
147 views

What is the relation between the uniformity of nature and determinism?

I read about Hume's argument that the uniformity of nature is a necessary condition for inductive reasoning to be valid, but we only have inductive reasons for believing in the uniformity in the first ...
dnaik's user avatar
  • 203
5 votes
3 answers
258 views

If induction is irrational, then should we blame someone who keeps making the same mistakes?

Suppose someone genuinely believes that they do not use induction, and for that reason press the big red button on the nuclear football, out of fun. One needs induction to know that it will blow ...
user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
117 views

Can meaning is use be the conclusion of an inductive argument?

I think anyone can deduce many things from and about how we use language (if I know you are a bachelor and the meaning of the word, then I know that you are not married), but can we (get outside our ...
user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
214 views

Is there any difference between abduction and induction in Bayesian terms?

In abduction we take some observations and try to find the hypothesis that best explains them. In Bayesian terms this sounds like finding the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimate. To a Bayesian, "...
causative's user avatar
  • 18.9k
0 votes
1 answer
161 views

Explain what the simplicity in this argument is based on

Other people have minds because it is the best explanation for other people's behavior because the existence of other minds is a simpler and more understandable explanation: It does not make me ...
Arnold's user avatar
  • 821
1 vote
4 answers
167 views

Does this argument support the simulation hypothesis?

https://simple.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Watchmaker_analogy Does this argument support the simulation hypothesis? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation_hypothesis Induction and argument by analogy is ...
Arnold's user avatar
  • 821
2 votes
0 answers
61 views

Is it reasonable to use induction to justify belief in the existence of other minds? [duplicate]

Is it reasonable to use an argument by analogy (induction) to justify belief in the existence of other minds? The principle of the uniformity of nature is used in the argument by analogy. https://...
Arnold's user avatar
  • 821
2 votes
2 answers
93 views

What is the best reference for understanding inductive theories of knowledge?

I am looking for a pedagogical outline of the inductive theory of knowledge. Something along the lines of a level textbook (graduate or undergraduate) reference rather than references to classic texts....
asph's user avatar
  • 141
9 votes
7 answers
3k views

Is scientific method entirely based on statistics (statistical inference)?

If I am correct the scientific method is an application of induction to science. Is the scientific method entirely based on statistics (statistical inference)? (I guess so, because it makes use of ...
Tim's user avatar
  • 499
2 votes
2 answers
113 views

Is the argument by analogy logically consistent?

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/other-minds/#ArguAnal I'm a bit confused by the criticism here. That is, this argument has no problems with logical sequence and if the premises are correct, then ...
Arti's user avatar
  • 157
2 votes
2 answers
188 views

Is the problem of induction ultimately just a problem of justification?

Unless a statement is logically necessarily true or false, are we ever justified to make an inference on anything? No matter what one uses or what reasons one comes up with to justify X, one can ...
user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
73 views

Is backtesting inductive reasoning?

We do backtesting in finance; that is, we guess hypotheses/premises, and then use previous data to verify it. Wikipedia Investopedia Is backtesting inductive or deductive reasoning? (Here we have ...
quanity's user avatar
  • 1,982
1 vote
4 answers
193 views

Are there any examples of two theories that accurately describe a phenomenon where the more complex one was found to be correct?

I was reading this answer on how Solomonoff's theory of inductive inference can be used to posit the more correct theory amongst a set that provide the expected "answer", where the shorter, ...
joshperry's user avatar
  • 119
1 vote
1 answer
86 views

Mill's methods - logic

Which Mill's method (not considering their limitations) would you use if you need to rule out the identity of a murderer based on the murders he already committed? The only possible answers are method ...
Ethinker's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
83 views

Do we ever actually reason from induction?

The sun has risen every day for many years. It would be unwise to bet on it not rising tomorrow. But is this because it has risen every day, or because there is nothing to suggest anything would be ...
user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
102 views

Is Rule-Based Machine Learning an Example of Inductive Logic in the Philosophical Sense?

Human beings are capable of deciding upon rules based on intuitions and observations their neurons presumably provide (certainly metaphysical presumptuous). According to WP, this is inductive ...
J D's user avatar
  • 35.4k
3 votes
2 answers
140 views

How does Hume get rid of the problem of induction “probabilistically”?

Just because the sun rises every day, doesn’t mean it will rise tomorrow. Hume points out that the former doesn’t imply the latter. But he also argues that it doesn’t even imply that it is probable ...
user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
334 views

What is a rule of inductive inference?

What is a rule of inductive inference? I'm not looking for any examples, but for definitions - what makes the logical form of an inductive argument a rule of inductive inference?
Turtur's user avatar
  • 310
0 votes
2 answers
101 views

Does the problem of induction justify insanity?

Insanity or delusions are defined as having beliefs that aren’t true. But how we come to true beliefs about the world often if not always relies on induction. Suppose you are a person on a really tall ...
user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
54 views

In which work does Wolfgang Stegmuller criticize anti-inductivism and Karl Popper?

In the introductory note to the third edition of Fact Fiction and Forecast, Nelson Goodman writes that "Wolfgang Stegmuller has corrected the notion thnat 'anti-inductivists' of the school of ...
asph's user avatar
  • 141
10 votes
7 answers
5k views

Is it a fallacy to argue "Once a thief, always a thief"?

I was looking online to see if this argument was a fallacy, but I couldn't find anything. It reminds me of the problem of induction, whereby one cannot predict what the future holds based on past ...
Dennis Francis Blewett's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
101 views

Why is the notion of similarity rarely discussed in philosophy when it underpins almost all forms of argument? [closed]

You cannot have any sort of inductive argument without having some sort of base set to make an inductive reference from. But choosing elements in that set requires some notion of them being similar to ...
user avatar
1 vote
3 answers
173 views

Are there concepts of laws-of-physics where the laws have a "fail rate"?

The closest to this idea I could find was talk of ceteris paribus laws, but it was hard to tell how much this concerned physics, even just potentially/speculatively. But having decided to believe that ...
Kristian Berry's user avatar
3 votes
6 answers
152 views

Does Newton’s First Law of Motion assist in validating the Uniformity Principle?

Does Newton’s First Law of Motion assist in validating induction? The Principle of Uniformity holds that the events of the future will resemble those of the past. That principle underpins the ...
Mark Andrews's user avatar
  • 6,872
4 votes
2 answers
104 views

Is the subjective nature of similarity a weak point of analogical/inductive reasoning?

Although inductive and analogical reasoning work, they work depending on some notion of similarity. For example, the argument that "All swans observed have been black. The next swan we observe ...
user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
133 views

How to formalise inductive reasoning? [closed]

How can I formalise inductive reasoning or findings, for example, from grounded theory studies? I understand deductive reasoning could use first-order logic to demonstrate the validity of an argument (...
Teddy's user avatar
  • 61
5 votes
3 answers
213 views

Confused about inductive arguments

I am having trouble understanding inductive arguments, i'm just not sure about how particular observed occurances are supposed to combine into a single definition. Example 1: (1) My friend is a ...
user avatar
1 vote
3 answers
312 views

Types of reasoning in mathematics

Can we say that analytical approaches is deductive reasoning and numerical approaches(numerical analysis) is inductive reasoning ?
quanity's user avatar
  • 1,982
1 vote
2 answers
85 views

How many "degrees" of knowledge is conceivable?

Not sure if this is the right place for this, but there's something I've been pondering about and can't wrap my head around. Say person A knows something, that person B does not. Let's call that the ...
kennyg's user avatar
  • 111
0 votes
1 answer
106 views

Falsification of a statement

Is falsification only applicable to deductive reasoning (as opposed to inductive, abductive and speculative deductive reasoning)?
quanity's user avatar
  • 1,982
2 votes
3 answers
74 views

Is there a term that means "soft validity?"

By "soft validity" I mean this: The formal definition of validity is that if the premises are true, the conclusion must be true. I will call this "hard validity." "Soft ...
jimboweb's user avatar
  • 197
2 votes
5 answers
539 views

Are mathematical proofs subject to the problem of induction?

When I consider a proof, such as Euclid's proof of the infinitude of primes, it can give a sense that something necessarily true has been obtained. I cannot remember where I got the idea, but a few ...
Galen's user avatar
  • 259
1 vote
2 answers
174 views

What does philosophy of science say about an example that "supports" a hypothesis but at the same time seriously undermines it?

A hypothesis can be seriously weakened by an example that supports it. Assumption: No one can be taller than 9 feet. Example: There is a person who is 8 feet 1 inch tall". The discovery of such a ...
Anduin Wilde's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
45 views

What does the 3rd edition of Fact, Fiction, and Forecast say about grue?

On my website, I have reproduced the passages from Nelson Goodman's book Fact, Fiction, and Forecast that define his famous predicate grue (and related predicates such as emeruby). In fact, I have ...
Timothy Chow's user avatar
0 votes
3 answers
255 views

Causation with Inductive/Deductive Logic

I'm sofa-philosopher and I have a case I can't quite dismantle. My friend (let's call him John) just made a statement that I find philosophically weak, and I'd like to run it thru you guys. So, John ...
Pompair's user avatar
  • 113
0 votes
1 answer
177 views

Non-Deductive methods in philosophical argumentation

I'm a mathematician, and I'm trying to expand my understanding of the philosophical basis of mathematics. Mathematics is very much taught axiomatically establishing deductive theories, but philosophy ...
Wakem's user avatar
  • 132
1 vote
2 answers
523 views

Is mathematical induction deduction, and if so, why is it so named?

By induction, I mean this screenshot from this Youtube video Abduction as an Aspect of Retroduction | Chiasson, Phyllis | Commens Induction: The prefix “in,” also from the Latin has to do with ...
user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
311 views

Does 1. extra-, 2. intra-polation fall under abduction, induction or deduction?

How does extrapolation relate to abduction, deduction, and/or induction? Scilicet, does abduction, deduction, and/or induction fully encompass Extrapolation? Same question for Interpolation. I ...
user avatar