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How can a finite number of observations justify confidence in complex theories

The more inputs I test the more confidence I should have. But why? In the general all question, given a black box with infinite possible inputs and some output, and with unknown complexity, it is …
tkruse's user avatar
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1 vote

If someone clearly believes that he has witnessed something extraordinary very clearly, why ...

keep a rational set of beliefs that are not strongly inconsistent, we need to either set the bar higher, or cherry pick which stories to believe based on what fits our beliefs without requiring stronger evidence
tkruse's user avatar
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2 votes

Is it a "shifting of the burden of proof" if I show evidence in favor of a position, and ask...

Such as if a claimant claims earth is flat, their evidence must be strong enough to consider all previous evidence and analysis was wrong. … Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. …
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5 votes

Do we have volitional control over our level of skepticism?

Legislators regularly need to make laws as to what level of evidence is required for a medication to be considered non-harmful, or effective as treatment. …
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