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On a logical level, (unlike J D's practical answer), let's suppose that neither side knows any factual property, (and for the sake of the question they don't get to find out), about policy change P, nor the qualities of group X, its polled subset Y, nor Y's two pro & larger con divisions or X-Y; other than the fact that Y_con outnumbers Y_pro say ten-to-...


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(Welcome to SE Philosophy, and thanks for contributing with a question/response! If you haven't done so, please take a quick moment to take the tour. More specifics can be found in the help center.) SHORT ANSWER Depends. The question you ask is one regarding statistics and sampling of population, and is a branch of study of it's own. Opinion polling is a ...


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