Timeline for How do you measure the probability of something not known?
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| Jun 16 at 11:51 | comment | added | Scott Rowe | Yes. And people tend to assign probabilities as they gain experience, then just use the remembered value instead of re-evaluating, unless something significant has happened. For example, I don't expect potholes where I drive unless I start to see some, then I doubt that particular stretch of road, not every road. When that road gets repaired, I reset my value there back to the norm. Saves a lot of calculating while driving! Never seen something happen? Your unconscious value for its likelihood is zero, or 'huh?' or something. | |
| Jun 16 at 11:01 | history | answered | causative♦ | CC BY-SA 4.0 |