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Oct 25 at 21:26 comment converted from answer TheMatrix Equation-balance "Probability theory" - the main tool (available for us) to discourage atheist views on the materialistic world. The facts of our reality that blow away any probability calculations (extremely unfair roulette wheel) are all around us (including Darwin's theory of evolution applied on a molecular level). But scientists conveniently try to close eyes on it with the reasoning of a lack of scientific facts.
Oct 25 at 16:26 review Close votes
Nov 5 at 3:02
Oct 25 at 16:07 comment added Idiosyncratic Soul This question is similar to: How improbable does an event have to be before we can say it didn't happen by chance?. If you believe it’s different, please edit the question, make it clear how it’s different and/or how the answers on that question are not helpful for your problem.
Jul 25 at 15:42 comment added Idiosyncratic Soul There are statistical tests to determine fairness. The chi-squared goodness of fit is an example.
Jul 24 at 15:41 comment added SystemTheory Based on past experience and unfolding events we would have to make an educated guess. Otherwise known as an inference.
Jul 23 at 11:38 history became hot network question
Jul 23 at 9:50 answer added Nikos M. timeline score: 0
Jul 22 at 14:36 comment added mudskipper @DikranMarsupial - I agree with your statement - I just did not really see that play out in the OPs question - probably because of the way it is expressed. I am fully +1 on your answer below - very precise criticism + correction on the question.
Jul 22 at 14:02 comment added user6527 @mudskipper, on further consideration, I think there is philosophical content here beyond the technical statistics - the differences in approach stem from differences in the definition of probability, which doesn't seem that well appreciated on this SE, judging by some of the questions and answers.
Jul 22 at 10:09 answer added user6527 timeline score: 8
Jul 21 at 17:09 answer added causative timeline score: 6
Jul 21 at 16:46 answer added JonathanZ timeline score: 6
Jul 21 at 16:39 comment added mudskipper I don't really understand why you're asking this question here. I think this is a purely technical (+practical) question about probability theory and statistics. Have you tried first asking the question on a math or statistics forum? Otherwise - how is philosophy involved here?
Jul 21 at 16:05 history asked Groovy CC BY-SA 4.0