Timeline for Did Thomas Bayes truly develop Bayes' theorem in an effort to rebut David Hume's arguments against miracles?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
14 events
when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 5 at 9:07 | history | edited | NotThatGuy | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
Added link to subsequent question
|
Dec 3 at 22:38 | answer | added | Kaia | timeline score: 2 | |
Dec 3 at 22:02 | comment | added | Kaia | Here's the Stigler quote: The True Title of Bayes’s Essay, which seems like the origin of the claim. | |
Dec 3 at 21:35 | comment | added | Kaia | This question already has Price's: On the importance.... Here's "Of Miracles" from Hume and Bayes/Price doctrine of chances | |
Dec 3 at 21:03 | comment | added | user80226 | @NotThatGuy I ended up asking a separate question about the validity of the argument. You can now migrate your comments over to there: philosophy.stackexchange.com/q/119864/80226 | |
Dec 3 at 20:09 | comment | added | Conifold | This is a nice story to tell, but it is a fable, see Gillies, Was Bayes a Bayesian?:"Bayes might have developed his mathematical results from a study of Jakob Bernoulli and of De Moivre, who may indeed have been his teacher... It is clear therefore that Hume may have influenced Bayes, but that there is no definite evidence that this was really the case." | |
Dec 3 at 20:06 | comment | added | Ted Wrigley | I don't see how this can be answered without some documentary evidence from Bayes (notes, or a letter, or something). You could ask whether Bayes' argument works as a refutation of Hume's (I think both arguments are tragically weak, personally), nut we can't really do mind-reading here. | |
Dec 3 at 19:56 | review | Close votes | |||
Dec 12 at 3:02 | |||||
Dec 3 at 19:43 | comment | added | user80226 | @Him see above. | |
Dec 3 at 19:43 | comment | added | user80226 | @NotThatGuy fixed. | |
Dec 3 at 19:42 | history | edited | user80226 | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
deleted 60 characters in body
|
Dec 3 at 19:38 | comment | added | Him | @NotThatGuy please don't leave answers in the comments. Consider submitting an answer. | |
Dec 3 at 18:26 | history | edited | user80226 | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
added 4 characters in body
|
Dec 3 at 18:12 | history | asked | user80226 | CC BY-SA 4.0 |