Timeline for Did Thomas Bayes truly develop Bayes' theorem in an effort to rebut David Hume's arguments against miracles?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
4 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
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| Dec 4 at 7:33 | comment | added | Kaia | @keshlam you can take it up with Price, who i have been informed has been dead for 200 years ;-) | |
| Dec 4 at 6:05 | comment | added | keshlam | Regarding p.399, it should also be noted that we trust a man we don't know only when there is is no particular reason to distrust him. Have him ask you to borrow $10,000 because he knows he can turn it into a hundred thousand, and watch how fast that trust evaporates. When it matters, we demand more reliable evidence. If belief matters at all, you should be demanding stronger evidence. | |
| Dec 4 at 6:03 | comment | added | keshlam | The lottery is a bad argument. The odds of a lottery prize being awarded are 100%. The odds of it being awarded to you are typically a tiny fraction of a percent, since there are many more than 100 players. Looking at the newspaper testimony means selecting the one player who was lucky, and discarding all the other players; 100% of the players reported on won. Winning is common, having the winning ticket is not, and the argument on page 411 confuses the two. | |
| Dec 3 at 22:38 | history | answered | Kaia | CC BY-SA 4.0 |