Timeline for Why should I believe my own conclusions?
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
5 events
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| Aug 14, 2014 at 17:42 | comment | added | Sherz | Mhm, so I would say in theory, a Bayesian approach would be appropriate, and enough to rely on (in that, if nothing else, the mathematics follows from basic axioms, and the general ideas follows from the math). But in practice, the difficulty would be the assigning of the weights. And it would be there that my question would return. | |
| Aug 13, 2014 at 13:43 | comment | added | James Kingsbery | Well, I don't think you should actually do arithmetic. Bayes Theorem describes how a rational but uncertain agent updates beliefs given new evidence - you should use that general process. You should separate out initial bias and how you update your beliefs. Beyond that, specific instructions about how to weight certain arguments, which arguments are believable, and what are the good arguments is the entirety of philosophy and is therefore a very broad subject. | |
| Aug 12, 2014 at 23:29 | comment | added | Sherz | I don't think I fully understand. Are you saying we should use Bayes's theorum to figure out "The chance that my conclusion about God is correct"? If so, then we're back to the original question- how can I be confident in my conclusion, when so many are wrong (albeit that I reached my conclusion via a Bayesian approach. But there's enough subjectivity involved that I can mess it up). Or are you saying that we should weigh into the question of "Does God exist" the fact that so many argue? If so, is there any way to determine the "weight" of that? | |
| Aug 11, 2014 at 23:38 | comment | added | That Guy | Thanks for understanding/appreciating the question! As you point out, justice has actual relevance, so it seems prudent that we come up with some way of determining the truth. Thus, the main objective of this question (at least from my standpoint, though I'm not the OP) is to find a way of evaluating the conflicting claims of other people. See philosophy.stackexchange.com/questions/15132/… where I'm trying to find any discussion of quantifying the plausibility of other people's claims (my more direct question) | |
| Aug 11, 2014 at 22:10 | history | answered | James Kingsbery | CC BY-SA 3.0 |