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Sep 6 at 15:07 comment added Dcleve @eclipz905 -- the relevance of a piece of evidence, and how one should weight that evidence is still a judgement call. Bayes just spells out how to adjust to a posterior given the relevance and weighting judgements.
Jun 25 at 17:28 comment added eclipz905 This answer is inaccurate in several important ways. 1) Bayes' Theorem is not descriptive of how people DO update their beliefs based on new data. The theorem is prescriptive, defining how one SHOULD update their beliefs. 2) The fact that an individual claims to be practicing Bayesianism does not make it true. Creationists and conspiracy theorists are especially prone to confirmation bias, ignoring inconvenient evidence rather than updating their beliefs. This is precisely what Bayes' Theorem is intended to combat.
Jun 24 at 16:48 history edited Dcleve CC BY-SA 4.0
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Jun 24 at 16:33 history answered Dcleve CC BY-SA 4.0