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Dec 5 at 12:20 comment added Scott Rowe It is especially hard to rule out other causes when you don't know about them. This is why we learn stuff: to make it easier to reject wrong ideas. We can't go straight to the Truth, but we can, as the nondual folks say, "back away from untruth."
Dec 5 at 0:59 vote accept user80226
Dec 4 at 16:26 comment added user80226 You are welcome. I posted my own analysis here: philosophy.stackexchange.com/a/119894/80226
Dec 4 at 15:52 comment added Ray @user80226 Thanks for fixing that. I added the equations at the last second to tie it back into Bayes' theorem and apparently didn't think enough about what I was typing.
Dec 4 at 11:03 history edited user80226 CC BY-SA 4.0
Fixed the math the second-to-last sentence.
Dec 3 at 21:55 history edited Ray CC BY-SA 4.0
deleted 20 characters in body
Dec 3 at 21:49 history answered Ray CC BY-SA 4.0